Three things crypto isn’t….

Often, when the topic of cryptocurrency and blockchain comes up in conversation during social gatherings, I frequently hear that “crypto is a criminal venture, it’s a scam, and in any case, it has nothing to do with my life, so I can ignore it.”

Of course, there is an element of truth in each of these allegations. But the same level of scepticism or denial could be levelled at traditional finance systems (remember Enron, Bernie Madoff, Nick Leeson, LIBOR, the GFC….), on-line gambling (the house always wins….), and the early days of the Internet (I still recall one colleague saying “www” stood for “World-wide wait”…).

So allow me to address the charges frequently thrown at crypto:

1. “Crypto is only used by criminals.”

The irony is, of course, that blockchain is one of the most transparent financial systems ever built. Every transaction is recorded, permanent, and visible. It’s not the best tool for someone trying to hide something. Physical cash is opaque and frequently utilised in criminal enterprise.

2. “It’s a scam.”

Some of it probably is. But fraud, money laundering, hacking and illicit activity exist in traditional finance too. The difference is nobody calls the entire banking system a scam because of it. Crypto is just newer, and newer things attract more suspicion.

3. “It has nothing to do with my life.”

This one is the biggest misconception of all. If you’ve ever sent money overseas, there’s a good chance the payment provider used a blockchain or distributed ledger technology to process it, you just didn’t realise. Think of the Ripple Ledger, stablecoin networks like Circle, and the numerous projects that Chainlink is facilitating within inter-bank systems.

If you’ve ever tapped your phone to pay for something, you’ve used a digital wallet. A digital wallet in crypto works the same way, it holds your assets and proves they’re yours, and allows you to transact with those assets.

The only difference is there’s no bank sitting in between you and those transactions. The technology isn’t something new, you’re already using a version of it, you were just unaware.

Crypto is real and it’s already in your pocket.

The only things often missing are awareness, education and understanding.

Next week: Time for age limits on religion?

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My thanks to Simian Giria for helping to initiate this topic.

Crypto is like dog years….

Following on from last week’s post about my personal career path, I have been reflecting on my 10-year experience of working in the cryptocurrency and blockchain industry.

Using the analogy of dog years, in crypto years, that’s more like half a century.

I sometimes joke about it with colleagues and clients, but the more you consider the pace of development in the crypto sector, the less of a joke it becomes.

In most industries, change happens over decades (yes, I know AI is now evolving at a rapid rate, but it has taken many years of earlier development to achieve this current momentum).

Regulations shift slowly, new asset classes take years to achieve legitimacy, and institutions move stolidly.

In crypto, that same volume of change happens in 12 months.

Consider what this industry has lived through in the last decade alone:

1. For me personally, Bitcoin went from being a “curiosity” at a Melbourne pitch night to a reserve asset held by sovereign nations.
2. Ethereum has introduced programmable money.
3. The ICO boom of 2017-19 upended the way companies and capital form around new technology, innovation and business ideas.
4. The cycle of market booms and crashes.
5. The DeFi experiment/explosion.
6. NFTs and RWA tokenisation.
7. The FTX collapse.
8. ETF approvals.
9. And now stablecoins and tokenised assets being quietly adopted by the very banks that once dismissed crypto entirely.

Every one of these reshaped how the industry operates at ground level.

Everything traditional finance systems took decades to build (price discovery, benchmarking, asset origination, financial structuring, risk management, clearing & settlement), crypto is rebuilding faster than ever.

After 10 years, I’m still not totally comfortable with all aspects of this constant rate of change, but I am a little better at reading it.

How do you keep up when your industry moves fast?

Next week: Three things that cryptocurrency isn’t

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My thanks to Simian Giria for helping to initiate this topic.

And the public gets what the public wants?*

Another Australian General Election comes and goes – although with a mere 3 years between federal polls, our politicians and their parties seem to be in constant campaign mode. Certainly, the formal election campaign lacked any significant new policies, so it felt like the leadership “debates” were simply a continuation of the stale language, petty point-scoring and tedious soundbites we hear day in, day out.

Cue the constant and familiar references to crises in housing, the cost of living and climate change. Both major parties tried to build platforms promising financial incentives for first-time home owners, with policies that were expensive, ill-conceived (albeit well intentioned), and with little regard for the consequences on the housing market or the broader economy. There was a failed attempt to have an informed debate about nuclear power, and tons of the usual pork-barrelling for pet industries and favoured constituencies. Even a major credit rating agency suggested that the Commonwealth’s coveted AAA status could be at risk as a result of all the campaign largesse. And of course, any lowering of the AAA rating would likely see an increase in interest rates, which would largely defeat the object of the first-time home owner policies.

At the time of writing, the Australian Labor Party has retained power with a significantly increased parliamentary majority, based on the projected number of seats it will win. But while the seats total may look like a landslide, it’s clear that a significant portion of the electorate voted tactically to either: a) keep the Liberal Coalition out of power; b) increase the chance of a minority Government and/or hung Parliament; or c) maintain the current status quo in a turbulent and uncertain world.

Based on the counts so far, both the ALP and Liberals have each only managed to garner about one-third of the total primary votes (4,678,061 – 34.81% and 4,315,961 – 32.1% respectively). While the national swing to Labor was around 2.3% since 2022 (with the Liberals seeing an opposite swing of -3.6%), this is enough to give them a large majority in the House of Representatives, thanks to the preferential voting system.

By contrast, in 2022, the ALP secured fewer primary votes than the Liberals (4,776,030 – 32.58% and 5,233,334 – 35.70% respectively), but managed to secure government with a slim majority. The point is, that the two major parties combined face a continued decline in their share of the primary vote. Given the performances by the Greens and Independents in recent elections, there could be a case for adjusting the current system of preferences to include a weighting or allocation based on the total primary vote by party. This might seem fairer in those constituencies with very marginal results, or where parties draw a significant share of primary votes nationally, but not enough to win (m)any seats, even with preferences. But given that most independent candidates (by their very nature) are not affiliated to any party, and usually focus on local issues (and often on single policy platforms), that allocation would be very difficult to calculate on a federal scale.

Meanwhile, it felt like the number of early-voting facilities was limited compared to previous elections, and there was little or no promotion of postal vote applications. This could have been due to the relatively short campaign period (although it always feels much longer…) combined with the large number of public holidays during that time. Cynics might suggest that this was a deliberate tactic by the incumbent government as early voting and postal votes are traditionally considered to favour the Liberal Coalition. I can’t find any compelling evidence for this theory. Partly, I suspect, because the major parties recognise that undecided, wavering and swing voters make a huge difference to the final results, so encouraging people to cast their ballot on election day helps them in that regard, even though more and more voters opt to vote before the big day itself. Whether the promise of an election sausage is sufficient incentive, I’d rather not speculate!

I experienced a huge feeling of disengagement with this latest election, mainly because I didn’t identify with any policies, parties or candidates that I could really get behind. When it came to voting for the Senate, I couldn’t see 6 parties (above the line) let alone 12 candidates (below the line) that I considered deserving of my vote. But we are forced to express our preferences for a minimum number of parties/candidates, hence the candidate lists are usually very long. I always think the large Senate voting slips are problematic, especially if you want to complete the full “below the line” choices, as we don’t really know what preference deals have been done behind the scenes.

Like many voters, I had issues with the unsolicited text messages I received, on behalf of candidates and/or parties. Apart from not disclosing how they obtained my number, some of the SMS did not carry the relevant authorisation statement; the sender’s number was anonymous (presumably they use automated systems); and blocking the sender had little or no effect – they still kept sending them! Since political parties are deliberately exempt from complying with laws against spam and invasion of privacy, the Australian Electoral Commission is relatively powerless to act. Presumably it’s in the parties’ interests to keep the status quo?

I was also surprised that polling stations still use a paper-based system to tick off who has turned up to vote. (I was using the same system when I was a polling clerk back in the 1980s in London.) Although the polling officers are required to ask me if I have already voted in another location, there is no immediate way to cross-check the electoral rolls. Surely an electronic tracking system would be a better solution? And on that note, I’ll end with a suggestion that it’s about time we put voter registration, voting and campaign donations on a blockchain to support voter ID and verification with privacy, secure proof of polling and force campaign funding transparency… as well as a speedier vote count!

*(with apologies to The Jam)

What “wallet” it say about you?

Just as your e-mail domain name can say a lot about how/when you first got online, I have a theory that our choice of digital wallet will also reflect our blockchain, crypto and web3 profile. (Remember those early ISPs and e-mail services such as AOL, Lycos, Compuserve and Pacific Internet?)

Part of the challenge with early digital wallets was the UX/UI – before the advent of software, browser-based and hardware wallets, users relied on “paper wallets” to manage their private keys. The first software wallets needed to be set up very carefully, so that your seed phrase or private key was not stranded on an abandoned hard drive, and thus lost forever. I think the first BTC wallet I used was CoPay, which was an early multi-sig wallet, but which has largely been discontinued. The arrival of browser extensions such as MetaMask have made a difference when it comes to bridging between chains, and managing a wider range of assets.

Even though there is more interoperability between digital wallets (cross-chain, multi-asset), dedicated applications are still needed for BTC and other chains. Also, some use cases (iGaming, web3/DeFi) may demand more specific wallets to support particular functionality. But like many crypto users, I still maintain about 6 different applications, including exchange-based wallets.

I suppose the eventual user experience will be a seamless transition between crypto, web3, DeFi, TradFi, NFTs and RWAs. But until then, stay safe and make sure you know where your private keys are at all times!

Next week: Signing off for 2024….