Who’s making money from market data?

In recent years, market data vendors and their clients have been fixated on supporting the demand for low-latency feeds to support high-frequency, algorithmic and dark pool trading while simultaneously responding to the post-GFC regulatory environment. New regulations continue to place increased operating burdens and costs on market participants, with a current focus on know your customer (KYC), pre-trade analytics and benchmark transparency.

For banks and asset managers, the cost of managing data is now seen as big an issue as the cost of acquiring the data itself. Furthermore, the need to meet regulatory obligations at every stage of every client transaction is adding to operating expenses – costs which cannot easily be recovered, thereby diminishing previously healthy transactional margins.

I was in Hong Kong recently, and had the opportunity to attend the Asia Pacific Financial Information Conference, courtesy of FISD. This annual event, the largest of its kind in the region, brings together stock exchanges, data vendors and financial institutions. It has been a few years since I last attended this conference, so it was encouraging to see that delegate numbers have continued to grow, although of the many stock exchanges in the region, only a few had taken exhibition stands; and representation from among buy-side institutions and asset managers was still comparatively low. However, many major sell-side institutions and plenty of vendors were in attendance, along with a growing number of service providers across data networking, hosting and management.

Speaking to delegates, it was clear that there is a risk of regulation overload: not just the volume, but also the complexity and cost of compliance. Plus, it felt like that despite frequent industry consultation, there appears to be limited co-ordination between the various market regulators, resulting in overlap between jurisdictions and duplication across different regulatory functions. Are any of these regulations having the desired effect, or simply creating unforeseen outcomes?

One major post-GFC development has been the establishment of a common legal entity identifier (LEI) for issuers of securities and their counterparts. (This was in direct response to the Lehman collapse, as a result of a failure or inability to correctly and accurately identify counterparty risk in their trading portfolios, especially for derivatives such as credit default swaps.)  However, despite a coordinated international effort, a published standard for the common identifier, and a network of approved LEI issuers, progress in assigning LEIs has been slow (especially in Asia Pacific), and coverage does not reflect market depth. For example, one data manager estimated that of the 20,000 reportable entities that his bank deals with, only 5,000 had so far been assigned LEIs.

Financial institutions need to consume ever more market data, for more complex purposes, and at multiple stages of the securities trading life-cycle:

  • pre-trade analysis (especially to meet KYC obligations);
  • trade transaction (often using best execution forums);
  • post-trade confirmation, settlement and payment;
  • portfolio reconciliation;
  • asset valuation (and in the absence of mark-to-market pricing, meaning evaluated pricing, often requiring more than one independent source);
  • processing corporate actions (in a consistent and timely fashion, and taking account of different taxation rules);
  • financial reporting and accounting standards (local and global); and
  • a requirement to provide more transparency around benchmarks (and other underlying data used in the creation and administration of market indices, and in constructing investable products).

Yet with lower trading volumes and increased compliance costs, this inevitably means that operating margins are being squeezed. Which is likely having most impact on data vendors, since data is increasingly seen as a commodity, and the cost of acquiring new data sets has to be offset against both the on boarding and switching costs and the costs of moving data around to multiple users, applications and locations.

The overloaded data managers from the major financial institutions said they wished stock exchanges and vendors would adopt more common industry standards for data licensing and pricing. Which seems reasonable, until you hear the same data managers claim they each have their own particular requirements, and therefore a “one size fits all” approach won’t work for them. Besides, whereas in the past, data was either sold on an enterprise-wide basis, or on a per-user basis, now data usage is divided between:

  • human users and machine consumption;
  • full access versus non-display only;
  • internal and external use;
  • “as is” compared to derived applications; and
  • pre-trade and post-trade execution.

Oh, and then there’s the ongoing separation of real-time, intraday, end-of-day and static data.

This all raises the obvious question: if more data consumption does not necessarily mean better margins for data vendors (despite the need to use the same data for multiple purposes), who is making money from market data?

While the stock exchanges are the primary source of market data for listed equities and exchange-traded securities, pricing data for OTC securities and derivatives has to be sourced from dealers, inter-bank brokers, contributing traders and order confirmation platforms. The major data vendors have done a good job over the years of collecting, aggregating and distributing this data – but now, with a combination of cost pressures and advances in technology, new providers are offering to help clients to manage the sourcing, processing, transmission and delivery of data. One conference delegate commented that the next development will be in microbilling (i.e., pricing based on actual consumption of each data item by individual users for specific purposes) and suggested this was an opportunity for a disruptive newcomer.

Finally, other emerging developments included the use of social media in market sentiment analysis (e.g., for algo-based trading), data visualisation, and the deployment of dedicated apps to manage “big data” analytics.

Next week: Australia 3.0

The “Three Pillars” Driving the #Online Economy

Games and social media apps may currently be generating the most downloads and revenue, but the real innovation in the online economy comes from the “Three Pillars”: Health, Finance and Education.

What these pillars have in common are:

  • clearly defined market verticals
  • well-established business models
  • life-long customer engagement
  • highly regulated operating environments

They are also industries that are continuously innovating, which makes them interesting bellwethers for what might emerge in other sectors of the economy.

However, they do not display closely integrated vertical markets, and despite the regulatory barriers to entry they are vulnerable to disruptive technologies and new business models.

I’m reminded of the proverb “early to bed, early to rise, makes a man healthy, wealthy and wise” – such that we cannot afford to ignore what is going on in these industries, and nor can we fail to understand the implications for each of them based on what is going on elsewhere.

From mobile payment systems to wearable fitness devices, from Apple’s new “Health” app to mass open online courses, from peer-to-peer lending to shared health alerts, these sectors are responsible for (and responding to) significant changes in the online economy, and over the next few weeks I’ll be offering some personal observations on the trends, threats, lessons and observations for each of the three pillars.

I encourage readers to contribute to the debate via this blog….

Next week: Online Pillar 1: #Health

CSIRO – what price #innovation?

Last week Startup Victoria invited scientists and researchers from CSIRO to come and talk about some of the projects they are currently working on. Around 400 people turned up to listen to fascinating presentations on flexible solar panels, 3-D titanium printing, flexible OLED lighting, robotics, wearable kinetic dynamos powering textile-based battery storage systems, high-speed instrumentation using FPGA, and micro-manufacturing processes.

logoFrom the outset, the emphasis of each presentation was on the practical application of these inventions. The goal of the evening was to encourage entrepreneurs and founders from the startup community to connect and engage with CSIRO’s project teams. There was an open invitation to co-operate with CSIRO, via R&D, prototyping, IP licensing and commercialisation initiatives.

The evening was generously sponsored by Cogent, PwC, Elance-oDesk and BlueChilli, hosted by inspire9, and ably compered by Leni Mayo; and in place of the usual Startup Alley was a team of experts offering free advice to startups, organised by Two Square Pegs.

As well as showcasing its latest developments in nano-technology, materials, fabrication, energy generation and workplace automation, CSIRO wanted to remind the audience that they have development and test facilities, which are available for commercial use at very economic rates to the right sort of project. It’s all part of a broader charm offensive, in part designed to raise awareness of the great innovation that has come out of CSIRO (e.g., WiFi…), in part to counter the challenges of reduced government funding ($111m in cuts over 4 years).

To me, CSIRO would appear to be pretty good value for money based on the $700m+ government contribution (which probably accounts for about 70% of current budget). CSIRO generates income from industry for research and other services, and earns royalties from patents and other IP it licenses. But its challenge is to demonstrate its true economic value, either as a contribution to GDP, or as a return on investment to the government (and to the wider community).

On the one hand, CSIRO is not an investment vehicle – yet on one level it operates as an early-stage VC fund, identifying which projects to “invest” in, and securing commercial returns via patents and other licensing streams. Nor is CSIRO a listed company, but without the benefit of its research and inventions, many companies traded on the ASX might not be as financially successful.

Ironically, CSIRO has been involved in research on the future of Australia’s $1.4tn superannuation assets – part of the effort to work out how to put these assets to better use, both to generate more sustainable income for Australian retirees, and to ensure the nation is investing in the right sort of infrastructure, innovation and international growth opportunities.

Traditionally, superannuation funds and other institutional investors have shied away from early-stage projects, especially home-grown startups, either because they are deemed too risky, or because the technology is not well understood. Yet some investors are willing to allocate part of their funds to Silicon Valley VC’s, only to see some of that money flow back into innovative Australian startups (a phenomenon I have previously described as an “expensive boomerang”.)

I’m no economist, but if there was some analysis done on the value of the “CSIRO Dividend”, it would both be able to secure current government funding, and attract long-term funding via the Future Fund or similar investment vehicle.

Post Script: Soon after this post was published, the Federal Government announced its Industry Innovation and Competitiveness Agenda, which among other things is seeking to generate a better return on investment on for innovation.

Next week: The Three Pillars Driving the Online Economy

 

Defining RoDA: Return on #Digital Assets

How do we measure the Return on Investment for digital assets? It’s a question that is starting to challenge digital marketers and IT managers alike, but there don’t appear to be too many guidelines. Whether your social media campaign is being expensed as direct marketing costs, or your hardware upgrade is being capitalised, how do you work out the #RoDA?

In most businesses, measuring the expected RoI of plant or equipment is usually quite easy: it’s normally a financial calculation that takes the initial acquisition price, amortized over the useful life of the asset, and then forecasts the “yield” in definable terms such as manufacturing output or capacity utilisation.

However, when we look at digital assets, many of those traditional calculations won’t apply, either because the usage value is harder to define, or the benchmarks have not been established. Also, while hardware costs may be easy to capture, how are digital assets such as websites, social media accounts, software (proprietary and 3rd party) and domain names being reported in the P&L, cash-flow analysis and balance sheet?

Sure, most hardware (servers, PCs and physical networks) can be treated as capex (e.g., if the purchase price is more than $1,000 and the useful life is 2-5 years). But how do you make sure you are getting value for money – is it based on some sort of productivity analysis, or is it simply treated as fixed overhead – regardless of your turnover or operating costs?

As we move to cloud hosting and #BYOD, many of these assets utilised in the course of doing business won’t actually appear on the company balance sheet. Yet they will have some sort of impact on the operating costs. Most software is sold under a licensing model, where the customer does not actually own the asset. (But, if the international accounting standards change the treatment of operating leases longer than 12 months, that 2-year cloud hosting fee might just became a balance sheet item.)

I was once involved in the acquisition of a publishing business that was converting legacy print products to digital content. Not only did they capitalise (and amortize) the servers and the conversion software, they also capitalised the data entry costs (using freelance editors) to avoid the expense hitting the P&L. Nowadays, that’s a bit like putting the HTML coding team on the balance sheet and not the payroll…

In some cases, the costs associated with maintaining an e-commerce website or registering a URL, will remain as overhead or operating expenses. But over time, businesses will want to have a better understanding of their RoI for different online sales and digital marketing channels, especially if they have been investing considerably in their design, build and maintenance. Measuring online visitor data, customer conversion rates and average yield per sale, etc. are becoming established metrics for many B2C sites. Having a good grasp of your #RoDA may just give you a competitive edge, or at least provide a benchmark on effective marketing costs.